Last week was a pretty successful one for the top-notch, mediocre advice that I spew out from time to time.
My start of the week was Eric Decker going up against the New Orleans Saints. He wasn’t great yardage-wise, but he had a couple touchdowns, something I figured was going to happen, the way he’s been playing lately.
My sit of the week was Cam Newton, who had a fair performance, but ranked 18th among QBs last week, probably not worth a start.
As for the rest, I did pretty well. I hit on Willis McGahee, Luck and Vernon Davis, but missed on plenty as well. Let’s give it another try as we’re still in the thick of things and I’ll try and help you maneuver your way into the playoffs. Let’s go dancing, shall we?
Start of the Week
Trent Richardson (vs. Ravens) – Richardson should be a stud this week. The Ravens run defense has gotten torn to shreds in recent weeks. Where is this staunch Ravens run defense that we’ve all come to know and.. well.. admire might be the best word? Richardson should be in line for a BIG one.
Andy Dalton (vs. Broncos) – This is more of a gut feeling than anything. The Bengals have lost the last couple games and are coming off of a bye week. I have no doubt they’ll be ready for this sucker. From an analytical standpoint, though, the Broncos are good in terms of not giving up a ton of yardage, not giving up a 300 yard passing performance yet, but they give up quite a few TDs. That’s what Dalton does well, because for some reason, the Bengals refuse to put the ball in the end zone via ground.
Andrew Luck (vs. Dolphins) -To heck with it, I’m going with the golden boy again. The Dolphins pass defense is awful. Despite giving up the 16th least fantasy points to opposing QBs, they’ve allowed four 300 yard passing games in seven games. Who are those opposing QBs you might ask? Carson Palmer, Kevin Kolb, Sam Bradford and Mark Sanchez (almost twice.) Yikes. Pencil in Luck on that list.
Mikel LeShoure (@ Jaguars) – I’ll be completely honest with you. I know I probably am going to get torn to shreds by FFJ and Chris, but I have no faith in the Lions coaching staff. They completely baffle me. Even when the running game is working, they try to pass it and shove the run by the wayside. If there’s any week that LeShoure is going to get a decent workload, it’s going to be this one, going up against one of the worst run defenses in the league. Check, please.
Fred Jackson (@ Houston) – Don’t give me that look. I mean it, I have a very good explanation for putting up here a struggling RB going against conceivably one of the best rushing defenses in the league.
CJ Spiller (@ Houston) – It’d be a better cliff hanger if I place Spiller at the bottom of the page, but such is life. Anyways, from what I’ve seen on tape, I haven’t been overly impressed with Houston’s run defense. One reason their rush defense is so good is because they’re blowing people out. Four of their games have been decided by 20 or more points. Utter domination, dudes. However, when they played a team with a running attack, they had success. Reggie Bush, MJD, Chris Johnson and Ray Rice all had success with their limited opportunities against the Texans, but that rushing defense will always look good as long as they blow teams out. This might be a blowout, but the Bills do one thing well; run the ball. I imagine they’ll stick to it considering that’s how they’re going to have any chance at generating any points. Chalk Jackson and Spiller up as my bold picks of the week, but I’m not worried.
Andre Johnson (vs. Bills) – Let’s stick with the same game and go with the other side of the ball. The Bills are pretty bad in the secondary and Johnson seems due for a big game. This one is sort of a gut feeling and putting two and two together. As long as it equates to 22, we’re all good and he’s going to have a nice game for the owners that are disappointed in his production, or lack thereof, thus far.
Randall Cobb (vs. Cardinals) – Cobb should be in line for a nice one this week with Jordy Nelson likely going to sit out this week’s game. I don’t imagine Patrick Peterson will cover Cobb (at least I don’t think so, don’t wreck me if he does) and outside of Peterson, the coverage is not very good. This has the potential to be a sneaky close game; Cobb should be active throughout this one.
Jeremy Maclin (@ Saints) -Maclin has been the definition of underwhelming this season, be it injury or otherwise. However, as poor as Vick has been, they play one of the worst defenses in the league this week. Anybody can rack up points against the Saints, this should be no different.
Brandon Pettigrew (@ Jaguars) – This isn’t your typical favorable matchup. The Jags have given up the 2nd fewest fantasy points to opposing tight ends, but with Calvin Johnson getting blanketed and Titus Young still relatively an unknown, Pettigrew seems like a nice candidate for a TD or two.
Greg Olsen (@ Redskins) -This is a great play for Olsen owners. Cam has been looking his way a decent amount this year and Olsen should be able to have a nice one. The Redskins tend to give up TDs to opposing tight ends, so there’s that.
Sit of the Week
Torrey Smith (@ Browns) – This really is sad. I thought he was going to have a breakout year. It simply hasn’t happened. Now he gets to go against an underrated Cleveland secondary, now featuring Joe Haden. Smith got 13 targets last week and hauled in just four of them. That’s not very good. I don’t imagine he gets near that many looks this week against a team with a run defense as soft as butter. Zing…
Alex Green (vs. Cardinals) -This also is sad. I’ve had to do some re-evaluating here. I don’t quite believe in him as much as I previously did. The only reason I put him here is because I keep seeing him show up as a low end RB2/FLEX play this week. I don’t think he does well against a team that counter-productively does something well, stop the run.
Donald Brown (vs. Dolphins) – Not a phan here (pun intended.) Brown might not get the lion’s share of the carries yet and goes against a very stout rush defense in Miami. Wait another week before plugging him in as a flex.
Jermichael Finley (vs. Cardinals) – Just look at what this team has done to Kyle Rudolph and Vernon Davis the past couple of weeks. It hasn’t been pretty for the tight ends. I don’t expect it to be much better for a banged up Finley.
Kyle Rudolph (@ Seahawks) – Funny I should mention Rudolph as his turn was next! Why do I hate Rudolph, you ask? I don’t. I am just simply baffled how such a slow and clunky tight end manages any production in the NFL through the air. The numbers don’t quite add up. Well, that and he’s going against one of the league’s best defenses this week.
Raiders DST (vs. Buccaneers) – This is a reach here, but the Raiders have been sneaky good this year and could force a few turnovers this weekend.