Week 7 Sleepers and Start’ems for 2013!
BUSTS! BUSTS! And more BUSTS! Need to change the sheets after this past week! Boy oh boy did we have a ton of big players forget to show up, and against some great match-ups! Oh well, it’s in the past and we shall progress and move forward into Week 7! We have some great match-ups again this week with the Philadelphia Eagles hosting the Dallas Cowboys and the Indianapolis Colts new face of the franchise QB Andrew Luck hosting the Colts old face of the franchise QB Peyton Manning and his new Denver Broncos. It’s going to be another interesting and exciting week!
Week 6 Sleepers/Start’ems RECAP!
- DA GOODZ! Recommended starts that made us look good!
- Running Backs (Rec = Reception)
Doug Martin TB vs Phi – 16 carries 67 yards and 4 rec 24 yards
DeAngelo Williams Car @ Min – 17 carries 64 yards and 5 rec 53 yards
Danny Woodhead SD vs Indy – 9 carries for 36 yards and 5 rec 47 yards
Matt Forte Chi vs NYG – 19 carries 67 yards and 6 rec 44 yards
Giovani Bernard Cin @ Buf – 14 carries 25 yards and 4 rec 39 yards 1TD
BenJarvus Green-Ellis Cin @ Buf – 15 carries 79 yards
DeMarco Murray Dal vs Wash – 7 carries 29 yards 1TD and 2 rec 21 yards
- Wide Receivers ( Rec = Reception)
Justin Blackmon Jax @ Den – 11 rec for 148 yards on 20 Targets
A.J Green Cin @ Buf – 6 rec for 103 yards 1TD on 11 Targets
Larry Fitzgerald Ari @ SF – 6 rec for 117 yards 1TD on 12 Targets
Terrance Williams Dal vs Was – 2 rec for 27 yards 1TD on 2 Targets
Reggie Wayne – 5 rec for 88 yards on 8 Targets
- Tight Ends (Rec = Reception)
- NOT so goodz! Recommended starts that made us look bad.
QB Tom Brady NE vs NO – 25 of 43 for 269 yards 1TD and 1 Int
QB Tony Romo Dal vs Wash – 18 of 30 for 170 yards 1TD and 1 Int
QB Andrew Luck Indy @ SD – 18 of 30 for 202 yards 1 Int
QB Alex Smith KC vs Oak – 14 of 31 for 123 yards
QB Philip Rivers SD vs Indy – 22 of 32 for 237 yards 1TD
QB Robert Griffin III Was @ Dal – 19 of 39 for 246 yards 2 Int
RB Trent Richardson Indy @ SD – 10 carries 40 yards
WR Pierre Garcon Wash @ Dal – 6 rec for 69 yards on 15 Targets
WR T.Y Hilton Indy @ SD – 5 rec for 43 yards on 8 Targets
WR Dez Bryant Dal vs Wash – 5 rec for 36 yards on 8 Targets
WR Torrey Smith Balt vs GB – 1 rec for 12 yards on 4 Targets
WR Alshon Jeffery Chi vs NYG – 1 rec for 27 yards on 5 Targets
WR Cecil Shorts Jax @ Den – Injured Shoulder Did not return
WR Danny Amendola NE vs NO – 2 rec for 0 yards on 4 Targets
TE Antonio Gates SD vs Indy – 4 rec for 28 yards on 8 Targets
TE Jason Witten Dal vs Wash – 3 rec for 27 yards on 5 Targets
TE Coby Fleener Indy @ SD – 3 rec for 16 yards on 6 Targets
TE Garrett Graham Hou vs Sea – 2 rec for 25 yards on 4 Targets
TE Greg Olsen Car @ Min – 2 rec for 19 yards on 4 Targets
- WEEK 7 SLEEPERS and START’ems!
Tony Romo Dal @ Phi - Romo was outstanding in leading Dallas to 2 wins over the Eagles in 2012. Romo completed 77.4 percent of his passes (41 of 53) for 512 yards, 5 touchdowns and no interceptions while producing a quarterback rating of 138.2 in those 2 victories. It could be another successful week for Romo since quarterbacks average 25 standard Fantasy points per week against the Eagles, which is the 3rd-highest average in the league. Only one quarterback Alex Smith in 6 games has failed to throw for multiple touchdowns against Philadelphia. Quarterbacks also average 327.5 passing yards per game.
Jay Cutler Chi @ Wash - Cutler threw 2 more touchdowns without an interception, while completing 24 of 36 passes for 262 yards. He found his favorite target, Brandon Marshall, for both scores, from 10 and 3 yards. Cutler has had a solid start to the season, passing for 12 touchdowns and 6 interceptions in 6 games, including at least two scores in 5 of the first 6 games and has reached and surpassed 260+ yards in 4 of the first 6 games. The Redskins defense has allowed each of the first 5 quarterbacks faced to reach and surpass 270+ yards passing as well as recording multiple touchdowns through the air.
Andrew Luck Indy vs Den - Indy is tied for 27th in pass attempts (31.5 per game) as Hamilton keeps trying to establish the run. But Luck, who averaged 39.2 pass attempts last year, should get a chance to air it out Sunday night against the Broncos. The Colts will have to keep pace with Peyton Manning and the Broncos prolific passing attack. And they’re facing a defense that allows an NFL-high 338 passing yards per game but just 3.2 yards per rush attempt. I believe we can expect Hamilton to call an aggressive game. He’s coming off his first game this season in which he did not pass or run for a touchdown. Look for a huge bounce back at home from Luck and his receivers, who dropped 5 passes in Week 6.
Nick Foles Phi vs Dal - All signs point to Eagles second-year quarterback Nick Foles getting a second straight start Week 7 vs. Dallas since Michael Vick continues to recover from a hamstring injury. The good news for Foles, who has 5 passing touchdowns, 1 rushing touchdown and no interceptions in his last 2 games, is he has a favorable matchup Sunday. Quarterbacks average 27.7 Fantasy points per week against Dallas, which is the highest average in the league. Only 2 quarterbacks, Sam Bradford and Robert Griffin have scored less than 20 standard Fantasy points against Dallas this season. Foles might not have Vick’s running abilities, but he’s proving to have little problems operating Chip Kelly’s up-tempo offense and could keep the starting job when Vick is healthy, if he continues to perform well.
- Running Backs
Doug Martin TB @ ATL - So will that happen Week 7 at Atlanta? The Falcons are nearly as bad as the Eagles against the pass, allowing 274.8 yards per game, 7th-most in the NFL, so if they take QB Mike Glennon for granted, they could get burned. Then again, seeing as they rank 6th against the run, allowing 97.4 yards per game, they may not have too much trouble slowing down Martin anyway. Martin has history on his side though, having rushed for 192 yards and 3 touchdowns in 2 games against the Falcons last season. The Falcons have also allowed at least 23 points in each of their first 5 games as well as 30 points allowed in each of their last 2 games.
Frank Gore SF @ Ten - After rushing for 20 yards in the first half against Arizona, 49ers RB Frank Gore broke out after halftime and finished with 101 yards on 25 carries. It was Gore’s 34th career 100-yard game. Gore, however, was not targeted in the passing game and did not find the end zone after scoring a touchdown the previous 2 weeks. Here’s a frustrating fact for Gore’s Fantasy owners, another 49ers’ back has scored on a short touchdown run in 4 straight weeks. Gore, whose longest run went 32 yards, has rushed for 417 yards the past 4 games as he has reached and surpassed 80-plus yards 4 games straight with 2-100+yard games over that span.
Maurice Jones-Drew Jac vs SD - The Jaguars kept the game close through two-and-a-half quarters, allowing Jones-Drew to get some yards on the ground. In the third quarter, he was able to take a 5 yard carry into the end zone for his first score since week 2. Jones-Drew finished the game with 71 yards and 21 carries. He wasn’t much of a threat in the passing game, picking up just 3 yards on 2 receptions.
Knowshon Moreno Den @ Indy - Moreno has run for 5 touchdowns and has caught 13 receptions over the past 3 games. He’s gone over 90 total yards in 4 of his last 5 games. Moreno leads the NFL with 7 rushing scores, 2 more than Adrian Peterson, Marshawn Lynch and Jamaal Charles, and averages a healthy 4.7 yards per carry in the Broncos prolific offense. A tremendous pass blocker, Moreno has begun to play on all three downs with the main purpose of keeping QB Peyton Manning up on his feet.
- Wide Receivers
DeSean Jackson Phi vs Dal - DeSean Jackson has said he has worked hard to become a red-zone option this year compared to years past. So far, 2 of Jackson’s 5 touchdowns have come inside the red zone, with both coming in the last 2 games from quarterback Nick Foles, who has replaced the injured QB Michael Vick. Wide receivers are averaging 178.5 receiving yards and 23.3 standard Fantasy points per week against Dallas. Wide receivers have been able to record 7 touchdowns through the air over the first 6 weeks. Jackson is averaging 76.8 receiving yards in 8 career games against Dallas, which includes a career-high 210 receiving yards in a 2010 game against the NFC East foe. Jackson is likely to see plenty of Cowboys CB Brandon Carr Sunday, but Jackson proved in Week 6 against Bucs CB Darrelle Revis he can thrive no matter the competition.
Dez Bryant Dal @ Phi - Bryant gets back to work Week 7 at Philadelphia after the Redskins halted his multi-touchdown streak at 2 games Week 6. The way the Eagles have struggled with receivers in 2013, it might not be a stretch for Bryant to produce his third multi-touchdown game Sunday. In fact, 6 receivers have recorded multiple touchdowns against Philadelphia, those receivers were Leonard Hankerson, Eddie Royal, Demaryius Thomas, Wes Welker, Rueben Randle and Vincent Jackson. Receivers have averaged 35 standard Fantasy points per week, which is the highest average in the NFL.
Reggie Wayne Indy vs Den - Andrew Luck has targeted WR Reggie Wayne 28 times in the past 3 weeks, or 9.3 per game. Those numbers should get better Sunday night against the Broncos. The Colts will pass more often than usual to keep up with Peyton Manning, so Wayne figures to get double-digit targets. Wayne has matched up against the Broncos 7 times and in 7 career games against the Broncos, Wayne has been able to record 5 touchdowns. Wayne has a great shot to break his 2-game scoring drought and post his 2nd 100+ yard receiving game in 2013. The Broncos are giving up an NFL league-high 338 passing yards per game to opposing QB’s.
Justin Blackmon Jac vs SD - With Cecil Shorts highly likely to miss Week 7, the Jaguars will lean on wide receiver Justin Blackmon in Sunday’s Week 7 home game against San Diego. Henne will surely be looking his way early and often. After being suspended 4 games to start the season, the second-year WR has erupted after his first 2 games back. He’s looked great with QB Chad Henne throwing the passes and actually improved from his first game when he caught 5 receptions for 136 yards and a touchdown on 9 targets in Week 5 at St. Louis. Blackmon turned that into 14 receptions for 190 yards on 20 targets last week at Denver. The Chargers have allowed 7 touchdowns to wide receivers alone through 6 games so the chances are good for Blackmon finding the end zone.
Keenan Allen SD @ Jac - Rookie WR Keenan Allen has been one of the leagues hottest waiver wire hot picks after his past 3 weeks. Allen will take the field in Jacksonville Week 7 looking for a 3rd consecutive 100-yard receiving performance. Allen has caught 20 receptions over his last 3 games for 302 yards and 2 touchdowns over the past 3 weeks including back to back games with 100+ yards AND a touchdown. Now, Allen, who has gone for at least 80 yards in 3 straight games, is facing a weak defense against the Jaguars Sunday.
Other Wide Receivers with nice matchups - Brandon Marshall Chi @ Wash, Alshon Jeffery Chi @ Wash, Mike Wallace Mia vs Buf, Brian Hartline Mia vs Buf, Victor Cruz NYG vs Min, Rueben Randle NYG vs Min, Jordy Nelson GB vs Cle, Jarrett Boykin GB vs Cle
- Tight Ends
Julius Thomas Den @ Indy - Through 6 games, the Colts have not allowed a tight end to catch a touchdown. All Julius Thomas does is catch touchdowns. Thomas has a great chance to break Indy’s streak Sunday night. The Colts didn’t face any elite tight ends until Week 6 at San Diego when they doubled Antonio Gates relentlessly, forcing Philip Rivers to look elsewhere. The Broncos bring a lot more weapons, so Indy can’t afford to double Thomas. Thomas, who’s 2nd on the team with 9 red-zone targets, ranks 2nd in the NFL with 7 touchdown catches. That’s the 5th-most by a tight end in a single season in Broncos’ history. He’s on pace to shatter Hall of Fame TE Shannon Sharpe’s record of 10 touchdowns, set back in 1996 and 1998.
Tony Gonzalez ATL vs TB - With WR Julio Jones done for the year with a foot injury and WR Roddy White still limited by ankle and hamstring injuries, Gonzalez is a “no-brainer” to emerge as quarterback Matt Ryan‘s top target. Though Gonzalez, who’s already coming off back-to-back games with double-digit catches, is sure to draw double coverage with only wide receiver Harry Douglas to keep defenses honest, he’s made a Hall of Fame career of catching balls in traffic.
Heath Miller Pit vs Balt - In 2 of his first 3 games back since returning from a shredded ACL injury, Miller has been able to record at least 70+ yards and has produced 15 receptions for 189 yards on 19 targets in the past 3 weeks and is a huge safety blanket for QB Ben Roethlisberger. With at least 7 targets in 2 of the past 3 games, look for Miller to be involved early and often against the Ravens defense who has allowed 3 touchdowns to tight ends in the past 5 games.
Kyle Rudolph Min @ NYG - Rudolph had 2 targets back in Week 4 against the Steelers and 18 targets in the first 3 weeks of the season. Seeing him land 11 targets is likely a byproduct of how the coaching staff wanted to attack Carolina (6 first-half targets) as well as the Vikings trailing in the second half (5 more in the second half). It’s also the first time this season a tight end absolutely throttled the Panthers. Rudolph is absolutely worth considering in Week 7 against the 0-6 Giants. New York has allowed 10-plus Fantasy points to opposing tight ends in 4 of 6 games thus far.
ATTENTION TEAM OWNERS – If your players are not listed, it does NOT meanI don’t like them. They could have a better match-up within the next 2 weeks and I could be saving them for another weeks article.
Good luck and enjoy!