Week 9 Stock Report
Each week I will highlight players and teams who have seen their value rise or fall during the previous week. I will also try to highlight players that have favorable schedules coming up that could give them a boost in value. Remember that you always want to sell high and buy low!
Marvin Jones: He may want to change his name to Touchdown Jones after last week’s performance. Jones has scored in three straight games, included his 4 touchdown explosion against the Jets. The amazing thing about last week is that he scored those touchdowns while only playing 19 snaps. Jones doesn’t get enough time on the field to be a WR2 for fantasy teams. He has seen an increase in catches and targets for the past three weeks, and should be owned in all leagues. I view him as a strong flex play or WR3 for the remainder of the season.
Terrance Williams: He had scored in four straight games for the Cowboys. He is clearly the #2 wide receiver on this team, even when Miles Austin comes back from injury. He has only been under 60 yards receiving once in the past five weeks. With Dez Bryant and Jason Witten getting most of the attention , Williams has consistently beat single coverage. He actually has more value in a standard league than a PPR league. Williams has been great scoring touchdowns, but he isn’t a huge receptions guy. He has been held under 5 receptions in three of the last five games. His reliance on touchdowns to get most of his points limits his value. It is tough to trust a player who doesn’t get a ton of receptions to be an every week starter. Williams is the #2 receiver on a high scoring offense and gets a lot of looks in the red zone. Look to use him as a WR3 and a strong flex option.
Mike Tolbert: His value comes from the fact that he gets most of his work inside the red zone. Tolbert doesn’t get a lot of carries, in fact, he only has one double-digit carry game this year. He also doesn’t get a ton of yards, but he has gained over 30 yards rushing in three of his last four games. He isn’t much of a threat as a receiver, with only one game of over 3 receptions. Despite all this, he is a touchdown machine. He has scored five times so far this year and is a threat to score every week because he gets a ton of touches near the end zone. He has value as a RB4 and should only be used as a low-end flex option.
Andre Ellington: The Cardinals clearly view Ellington as their third down/change of pace running back. Even with Rashard Mendenhall out with an injury, they still limited Ellington’s snap count by playing Stepfan Taylor against the Falcons. I think Ellington will start to see more playing time, but will still be limited because the Cardinals don’t view him as an every down back. He has been solid for PPR leagues, averaging around 4 catches per game. He is a threat to break a long run every time he gets the ball, as evident by his 80 yard touchdown run last week. I view Ellington as a strong flex option, and a viable option for a RB2 spot if you are dealing with an injury or bye week situation.
Pierre Thomas: It is hard to trust any running back on the Saints due to the fact that they have a pass-heavy offense. Thomas has emerged as their lead running back with three straight games of double-digit carries. He is averaging almost 5 receptions per game, which makes him more valuable in PPR leagues. He has averaged around 70 total yards per game, but has only scored two total touchdowns. His value is also limited because he doesn’t get a lot of looks in the red zone and he is taken out on third down. He has value as RB3 or RB4, but should only be used as bye week or injury fill-in player. He is not the most exciting player to have on your bench, but at least you know what to expect if you are forced to use him in your starting lineup.
Kris Durham: I know it seemed like Calvin Johnson was the only receiver on the Lions to catch a pass against the Cowboys, but Durham had a few catches that game as well. He has been averaging around 8 targets a game for the past four weeks. Durham played with Matthew Stafford in college, so there is a comfort level between the two. He hasn’t put up huge yardage stats so far, but he has been pretty consistent with getting around 50 yards per game. He should be owned in all leagues of 12 or more teams, but shouldn’t be relied upon as anything more than a WR4.
C.J. Anderson: He only had 4 carries for 22 yards against the Redskins, but he has a chance to earn the #2 running back spot for the Broncos. If he doesn’t have a fumbling problem like Hillman and Ball, and can do a decent job of picking up blitzes, he could wind up getting some quality time on the field with the Broncos high-powered offense. Anderson is worth stashing on teams in leagues of 12 or more if you have an extra roster spot. He could be the next surprise running back star for the Broncos. Watching him play brought back memories of Mike Anderson and Olandis Gary.
Tom Brady: The Patriots keep winning, but Brady is playing more like he was earlier in his career when he was an average fantasy quarterback. So far this season, Brady has only one game throwing for more than 300 yards. In his past four games, he only has two touchdown passes with four interceptions. His production is being hurt by lack of quality receivers and his lack of accuracy. Brady is only completing 55% of his passes this year. The Patriots just lost their starting right tackle for the year and Brady has been getting sacked more than he has in previous seasons. Brady is no longer an every week starter for fantasy teams. He should only be used when he has a favorable matchup.
Adrian Peterson: The only reason Peterson is listed in the stock down section is because of the current situation he is in with the Vikings, not because of his ability on the field. His production has decreased because of a lack of opportunity. The Vikings have a tough time sustaining drives and stopping the opposing team. The quarterback position for the Vikings is one of the worst in the league. I am always surprised when they actually complete a pass during a game. This lack of quality quarterback play has limited the number of plays the Vikings run on offense. Teams are stacking the line even more to stop Peterson than they have in the past. The defense for the Vikings is also hurt Peterson’s value. They can’t get off the field on third down and opposing teams are winning the time of possession battle each week. I don’t see the Vikings quarterback situation getting any better this year. Peterson is still a #1 running back, but you may need to adjust your expectations. He always has the chance to break off a long touchdown run, but he may be a more boom or bust guy the rest of the season.