So last week was the first time I had done the Junkie Hits and Misses in quite some time. I believe it was week 3 of the 2012 season that I last took a stab at picking underdogs to out perform their ranking and boy did it show. I went a miserable 0-5 last week. A couple of players literally knocking on the door but ranked just outside the parameters of a ‘Hit’ and there is no fooling the system. Here’s a recap of last week’s picks.
Joe Flacco: 19 pts – Finished 11th
Willis McGahee: 3 pts – Finished 45th (left game due to concussion)
Jacoby Jones: 9 pts – Finished 32nd
Andre Holmes: 6 pts – Finished 46th
Ladarius Green: 0 pts – Finished ??? (Only one I am embarrassed about, with Eddie Royal back Green was a non-factor)
Flacco and Jones really tried their best last week and while they put up respectable numbers and vastly out performed their rankings, it still wasn’t enough for me to notch a victory. Lets hope I can scrape together a respectable Week 15!
RULES: I can pick as many players as I want but need to choose at least one from each of the four offensive positions. Those players have to be outside of the top 10 for QBs and TEs, top 25 for RBs and top 30 for WRs at the time of the article. I will release the article on Thursday and use the ECR (Expert Consensus Rankings) on FantasyPros that are current at the time of writing. Rankings can change dramatically from Thursday to Sunday, please remember that.
Fantasy Football Junkie’s Hits and Misses – Week 15
1. QB – Kirk Cousins, Washington Redskins (ECR – 22nd) - With Robert Griffin getting the demotion and Kirk taking over, he gets the gift of a lifetime in facing a terrible Falcons defense. I expect with a week of taking first team reps in practice, that Cousins will be solid in his return to the starting lineup. It’s a gamble, but that’s what this article is all about!
2. RB – Chris Ogbonnaya, Cleveland Browns (ECR – 35th) - I’m not completely sold on this pick but Chris has a huge opportunity in front of him. The Bears defense has been historically terrible against the run this season and Willis McGahee is very doubtful to play. The stars are aligning for Ogbonnaya to have a good fantasy game. The only fear I have is that he’s been susceptible to letting the ball slip out of hands and that’s something the Bears do quite well. If he lets one slip early, it could be the Fozzy show for the remainder of the game.
3. WR – Justin Hunter, Tennessee Titans (ECR – 52nd) - They have a tough matchup vs the Arizona Cardinals but it’s not as daunting without Tyrann Mathieu who was lost to Injured Reserve. With more attention paid to Kendall Wright and Nate Washington, Hunter could get a few more opportunities than normal. And two of his past three games have been impressive going over the 100 yard mark. He’s worth a gamble if you need a high upside play for the playoffs.
4. TE – Jacob Tamme, Denver Broncos (ECR – 15) - After Wes Welker left the game in week 14 due to a concussion it was Tamme that took over most of the work in the slot. In one half’s work, he totaled 4 receptions for 47 yards. If you need to take a chance on someone after losing Rob Gronkowski for the season and didn’t win the Dennis Pitta sweepstakes, go snag Tamme for this week. It could pay dividends with San Diego concentrating on Julius Thomas, Demaryius Thomas and Eric Decker.
If you have someone you think that will be this weeks surprise player, let us know in the comments. You never know, you could help someone win their playoff game!