Week 13 DFS Blue Book
It’s hard to believe that we have had 12 weeks of football already. It seems like just yesterday that I was writing preseason articles, drafting MFL10s, and going over rankings. Now we are here, in Week 13. I hope that if you’ve been reading my stuff I’ve helped you make some money. Last week, I had Kap, Brees, Michael Thomas, OBJ, Malcolm Mitchell, Delanie Walker, and the Saints DST. Solid week, let’s keep it rolling
Tom Brady | QB | GPP
The Gronk news certainly doesn’t help Tom Brady fantasy prospects but all I see is information that might reduce his ownership by a couple percent. Brady is still playing a team that just had 49 hung on it. The same team that is traveling across the country for a 1 o’clock game. I love Brady this week and expect him to be the QB1.
Colin Kaepernick | QB | Cash
Since his return to the starting lineup, Colin Kaepernick has been the QB7 overall. There are a couple factors that go into these numbers. First, the Niners defense is getting destroyed through the air and on the ground. Kap is always coming from behind against teams nursing a win. Second, Kap is putting up great rushing numbers week after week. You can basically pencil him in for 60 rush yards which is like a pocket-passer starting the game with 1.5 touchdowns. Kap is the DFS Blue Book Week 13 Cash Game QB.
Tyrod Taylor | QB | GPP
There was a midweek scare regarding Sammy Watkins health but it is looking like Watkins will be good to go. If that’s the case, I like Tyrod Taylor here. The game has a high over/under and there is a good chance TyGod could be leading his team from behind. Taylor is another QB with rushing upside and now he has one of the best weapons back in the NFL in Sammy Watkins.
I’d recommend building your roster around Lev Bell or DJ in cash games. They both have tremendously high floors because of their involvement in the passing game.
LeSean McCoy | RB | GPP
If LeSean McCoy hadn’t injured his hamstring I think there would be a big debate on whether or not he’s the NFL MVP. When healthy this year, Shady has been one of, if not, the best RBs in the NFL. Sure, Zeke is putting up the best numbers in the NFL but there are probably 10 other RBs in the world who would do the same, or better, behind that historically good offensive line. McCoy has as much upside as Lev Bell and David Johnson but carries a price tag that is considerably lower.
Mark Ingram | RB | GPP
Mark Ingram is the only player in the Week 13 DFS Blue Book playing in the highest totaled game this week. I’m going to be fading that game because both teams are known for their sustained, slow drives. It’s possible that these two offenses could be very efficient but also run so much clock that their fantasy potential is capped. Both defenses are also much better than they were earlier in the season when injuries had ravaged their depth. Ingram, though, has been playing outstandingly well since his benching. I like him as a low-owned pivot off Theo Riddick, who I think will have more ownership based on the Thursday slate numbers.
Jeremy Hill | RB | Cash
I’m not super into Jeremy Hill as a player but he is much more effective at home and is guaranteed a decent-sized workload. I think last week’s snap counts were an anomaly and Hill will own a much higher percentage of the snap share in Week 13.
Julio Jones | WR | Cash
I think that if you polled the average DFS player, less than 50-percent know that Marcus Peters doesn’t shadow. You can use this to your advantage and roll Julio Jones out there at a discounted ownership percentage. He’s my favorite WR play this week and will have him in all my lineups.
Doug Baldwin | WR | Cash
The numbers say Carolina is good against the slot but Doug Baldwin is much more than a slot receiver. Baldwin, who runs out of the slot 76-percent of the time, is also PFF’s highest rated WR that predominantly plays the slot. At 85.9, Baldwin is the fourth highest graded WR overall behind Mike Evans, Julio Jones, and Antonio Brown. Baldwin is such a good deal this week!
I’m liking the idea of pivoting off Tyler Boyd, Tyreek Hill, and Taylor Gabriel in GPPs in favor of these guys. LaFell is as average as they come but he has put up very big games. Fuller has shown tremendous upside this year. I think it would be plausible to take a chalky lineup that would feature Boyd, Hill, or Gabriel and replace them with LaFell or Fuller to completely differentiate yourself.
Marquess Wilson | WR | Cash
The Niners have a shitty defense plain and simple. It is made worse by the Niners running a fast-paced offense. Last week, Marquess Wilson was Matt Barkley’s “weapon” of choice. I like Wilson a lot this week and will be rolling him in my lineups as the Week 13 DFS Blue Book Value of the Week.
Dorial Green-Beckham | WR | GPP
Carson Wentz has to throw to someone.
Malcolm Mitchell | WR | Cash
The minute I heard about Gronk’s surgery, I ran to waiver wires to try and acquire Mitchell. I think that he is the biggest beneficiary of the Gronk loss because he becomes the Pats most unique downfield weapon. Still priced very affordably, I think Mitchell is a steal this week.
Travis Kelce | TE | Cash
Over the last 3 weeks, Travis Kelce is the most targeted TE in the NFL. This week, he plays against the Atlanta Falcons, a team that has traditionally struggled against the TE. I love Kelce this week and he is the top play at the position.
Cameron Brate | TE | GPP
I think that Cameron Brate has flown under the radar in a lot of places. The Chargers have really improved their pass rush with Joey Bosa and I think the Bucs will have to utilize the quick passing game more than normal.
Jermaine Gresham | TE | Cash
Jermaine Gresham is minimum priced. I think a lot of people will roster Vernon Davis but the Cardinals have been historically good against the TE this season. Why not use the guy opposite in Gresham, who got 10 targets last week? Clearly, the Cards don’t love Michael Floyd, Smokey Brown isn’t healthy, and J.J. Nelson doesn’t seem like a thing anymore. Gresham might be the guy.
Broncos | DST | Cash
That defense against Blake Bortles?
Washington | DST | GPP
I hate to say it but every game seems like another indictment on Carson Palmer for being washed. I like Washington’s defense a lot this week as a low-priced option.
Jaguars | DST | GPP
The Jags aren’t awful and Paxton Lynch looks like a pirate. I think many a pirate has taken an L on Florida’s First Coast.