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Week 14 DFS Blue Book: Better To Be Luck-y Than Good


Week 14 DFS Blue Book

Only a couple more weeks left in the season, so let’s focus on squeezing every last drop out of other owners. We have some making up to do after the Colin Kaepernick debacle of Week 13.  So, let’s get into the Week 14 DFS Blue Book.

Andrew Luck | QB | GPP

Houston looks like a bad matchup on paper for Andrew Luck. They average giving up 16.1 Fantasy Points (FPs) per game but over the past 3 games the Texans have given up 8 passing touchdowns. This is a huge game for both teams and I expect Luck to come out firing.

Kirk Cousins | QB | Cash

Since Week 10, can you tell me who the QB2 is? That’s right. Kirk Cousins is. But his price doesn’t reflect his fantasy goodness. The Eagles have been known to give up some yards through the air and Cousins may even have a full arsenal of weapons. The Week 14 DFS Blue Book loves him as a cash play.

Colin Kaepernick | QB | GPP

I wrote up Colin Kaepernick last week. Wasted like two minutes trying to make a catchy title that involved the phrase “Kaep” and he went out and had an awful game. But let’s be honest, he was benched after 5 passes. He only had 10 passes called and he was sacked on 5 of them. That’s kind of on Chip Kelly. That smug, pudgy little bastard did us dirty. Week 14 is a new week, however, and he gets another enticing matchup. Let’s exploit some recency bias and use Kaep in GPPs.

Melvin Gordon | RB | Cash

This pick is contingent on Luke Kuechly being out or at least limited in his return to action. Since Kuechly was injured the already struggling defense has gotten worse. I expect the Chargers to give the Panthers D a heavy dose of Melvin on Sunday so load him into your lineups.

DeMarco Murray | RB | GPP

DeMarco Murray may have had a Bye Week at exactly the right time. It appeared Murray was wearing down a little, suffering the effects of a lingering toe injury. Now, Murray should be healthier than he has been in weeks and he’s playing a Denver team that is 26th in rush DVOA. His ownership should be low because the average player is scared off by the Denver D but they are a team to target with RBs.

Thomas Rawls | RB | Cash

Last week was like stepping into a time machine. Thomas Rawls was running like 2015 Thomas Rawls. This week he plays a stout Green Bay run defense but some of that has been padded by the teams they have played. There are running FPs to be had against the Pack and I expect Rawls to get them.

Todd Gurley | RB | GPP

Will Todd Gurley have his career completely decimated by Jeff Fisher’s ineptitude? Possibly. But his price is so low that he could conceivably hit value on one running play. I mean, it almost feels like Jeff Fisher would literally trip him if he was breaking out down the sideline but let’s hope it’s a run up the middle.

T.Y. Hilton | WR | GPP

T.Y. Hilton went off on Monday and his price went down. Thank the fantasy sky wizards that the pricing was released prior to MNF! Hilton is my favorite play this week. The Texans will be forced to cover Hilton with Charles James out of the slot and he will be completely overmatched.

Tyrell Williams | WR | Cash

Tyrell Williams has had 100 yards or a touchdown in every game he hasn’t played against the Broncos since he assumed the WR1 role in San Diego. A quick schedule check shows me that Tyrell Williams will not be playing the Broncos this week. Therefore, he will be in my lineups.

DeAndre Hopkins | WR | GPP

How the mighty have fallen huh? Fuck you Brock Osweiller. Nuk does have a nice matchup this week against Vontae Davis. On The Fantasy Hot Read last week, I commended Vontae Davis for going out there and fighting through injuries for his team. I stand by that and there is real football merit to that. We play fantasy football, though, so let’s exploit gimpy ole Vontae.

Jamison Crowder | WR | Cash

Jamison Crowder has double-digit FPs in every game but one this year. He is also the Washington Football Team’s no. 1 RZ target.

Taylor Gabriel | WR | Cash

Mo Sanu… Out. Julio Jones… Decoy. Taylor Gabriel… 100 percent exposure. In the same vein, I think Tevin Coleman is an interesting contrarian GPP play to get involved in the passing game.

Malcolm Mitchell | WR | Cash

Malcolm Mitchell gives Tom Brady some explosiveness that the rest of his WRs don’t offer. I expect that his involvement will be excessive this week. Definitely one of my favorite low-priced guys on the slate.

Tyler Lockett | WR | GPP

Russell Wilson is healthy, Thomas Rawls is healthy, and Tyler Lockett is getting involved. They are getting the whole damn band back together. With the loss of Earl Thomas, I expect the Packers/Seahawks game to be a shootout. Lockett has rushing ability, return ability, and catching ability. He’s like Tyreek Hill without the being a giant piece of shit.

Tyler Eifert | TE | GPP

The Browns have been a team to target with TEs all season. This week Tyler Eifert might be the TE1 overall because of his massive involvement in the Bengals passing game since A.J. Green went down. Last week’s game skewed the totals because the Bengals made the Eagles pay and eat their shit, then shit out their shit, then eat shit again, which was originally made up of the Bengals shit. Snoochie Bootchies.

Ladarius Green | TE | Cash

Ladarius Green went off last week and is sub-$4,000. He’s going to have high ownership with high-upside. I’d consider him the price of doing business this week.

Vance McDonald | TE | GPP

If you are going to use Kaep, I’d stack him with Vance McDonald. Since Colin Kaepernick took over as QB, McDonald is the TE12 and if you take out last week’s debacle, he’s TE9.

Vikings | DST | Cash

Blake Bortles has thrown more pick 6’s than he has wins. Just let that marinate as you click on the Vikings DST.

Buccaneers | DST | GPP

This one seems a bit crazy but the Bucs have had a defensive renaissance recently. The change has correlated with Vernon Hargreaves III not being awful and Noah Spence terrorizing the opposing QB. You can guarantee that the Bucs will have low ownership and they showed last week that they are capable of shutting down a high