Week 11 is full of hidden DFS value whether it’s at QB, RB, WR, TE, or DST. Every team seems hampered by injuries, so there are a lot of backup players with relatively low salaries for us to exploit. By using the right combination of value players and high-volume players, we can hope to assemble a roster with an extremely high, yet reachable, ceiling. There are a lot of bad matchups for the elite WRs this week. Conversely, there are a lot of positive matchups for opposing DSTs, so getting exposure to several team defenses may be vital to expanding our bankrolls.
As always, this lineup was constructed with the other Week 11 GPP lineups in mind. If you prefer a different QB/WR combination, Top-3 RB1, or team DST, so be it. Feel free to consult The DFS Blue Book for any additional players you may want to include in this week’s lineups. However, we have the utmost confidence in the players below and expect a substantial ROI across all five DFS sites. There’s not a lot of mystery left with these players, but we believe they have exploitable matchups and the capacity to perform at or above expectations. If we win $1 million this week, we hope you’ll be sharing it with us.
Here’s the Week 11 DraftFury DFS Lineup: $5 Bomb:
Derek Carr | $14,100 – Through the first 10 weeks, Carr has 5 games with 20+ fantasy points. The only “letdown” performance he had was Week 4 against Chicago. Since then, Carr has been a top-5 QB for DFS purposes. This week, the Raiders play against the Detroit Lions who continue to surrender big plays in the passing game. After last week’s loss to the Vikings, Oakland is set to bounce back and put several TDs on Detroit. Both Cooper and Crabtree add to Carr’s value, as well as Latavius Murray out of the backfield.
Todd Gurley | $14,800 – Several of the top RBs have good-to-great matchups in Week 11. With Adrian Peterson’s performance last week, Devonta Freeman coming off of a bye, and Lamar Miller facing the Cowboys, it’s tough to see more than 5-10% of people rostering Gurley (especially with all the value RBs). However, Head Coach Jeff Fisher likes to run the ball a lot when his team is a road underdog. The ingredients are all here for a top fantasy performance, so Gurley could pay big dividends in GPPs.
Danny Woodhead | $9,200 – The San Diego Chargers are falling apart at the seams, or so it would seem (heh). Keenan Allen, Ladarius Green, Antonio Gates, and Malcom Floyd are all sidelined or limited due to injury. Melvin Gordon and the Chargers offensive line have struggled to get the running game going, yet San Diego continues to give up points on the defensive side of the ball. Philip Rivers will be asked to throw a lot against Kansas City, which means Woodhead out of the backfield could be their No. 2 option.
Mike Evans | $13,500 – As we said, volume is the name of the game and it’s hard to see past the whopping 32 looks that Evans has seen over the past two weeks. Tampa Bay plays on the road against the Philadelphia Eagles, so it’s likely Jameis Winston will be throwing a lot by the end of the game—mostly to Evans. The Eagles have struggled to lock down opposing WR1s, so Evans gets a slight edge on the matchup as well. Although drops have been an issue, Evans offers as high a ceiling as anyone at WR this week.
Larry Fitzgerald | $11,200 – The latest injury news out of Arizona includes both WR John Brown and WR Michael Floyd. That tells us that Fitzgerald has been getting a lot of reps with his pal Carson Palmer and will likely be a big part of the game plan for this weekend. When the targets have been there, Fitzgerald has paid off. He has the lowest drop rate of any active WR in the past 5+ seasons and continues to be involved in the red zone. If Palmer’s going to have a big day, it it’ll be mostly due to Larry Fitzgerald.
Michael Crabtree | $10,800 – The Raiders passing offense struggled last week against an underrated Vikings defense in a game that featured 25-35 mph gusts of wind. Before last week, Crabtree had 4 TDs through 3 games and was averaging 75+ yards. This week, Oakland travels to Motor City to kick the corpses of the Detroit Lions. No member of the Lions secondary is particularly talented, and the Raiders need this win to keep their playoff hopes alive. We feel Crabtree could finish as a top 10 WR this week.
Rob Gronkowski | $13,400 – Why order the salmon when you can have the prime rib? With so many question marks surrounding the TE position, Gronkowski is the clear No. 1. This week has a ton of value at other positions, so we felt it was worth paying up for tickets to the Gronk You Tour. In Week 2, Gronk dropped 113 yards and a TD on 7 receptions against the Buffalo Bills in Buffalo. Now he gets to put on a show in Foxboro on Monday Night Football—we’re expecting a few spikes in our total score.
Dontrelle Inman | $5,200 – Somebody has to catch the ball for Philip Rivers. The receiving corp injuries are piling up, but Rivers will continue to throw 40-50 passes a game. Inman will play the majority of snaps on Sunday night when the Chargers host the Kansas City Chiefs. The Chiefs are atrocious at defending the pass, so even a moderate amount of targets could equal large returns with Inman’s miniscule price tag. If he can somehow find the end zone, Inman will be a terrific GPP play this week.
Denver Broncos DST | $7,500 – Brock Osweiler will be under center for Denver this week, which means a slower pace of play. Head coach Gary Kubiak will be able to run the ball as he prefers, huddle as he prefers, and call the plays as he prefers. Basically, the Broncos defense is going to be well-rested, hungry, and expected to pick up the slack as they audition their potential franchise QB. Jay Cutler and the Bears are likely to turn the ball over, which Denver has proven they can turn into defensive TDs.
|DST||New York Jets||6100|
Alternate plays include:
There are no alternate plays this week. Between the 10 different site lineups, The DFS Blue Book, and your own inklings, we felt it was unnecessary to list other options in Week 11. If you are curious about our input on a specific player, feel free to ask us via Twitter: @DailyStadium, or email firstname.lastname@example.org. We’re happy to discuss any GPP or cash questions you have, but please don’t send photos of lineups, or mention our full complement of players as this content is not for the public.
The above Week 11 DraftFury DFS Lineup is submitted as is under my personal DraftFury account: MySleepers.