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Week 12 OwnThePlay DFS Lineups

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The Daily Fantasy Stadium is going through changes. We are committed to helping subscribers be successful at daily fantasy sports. Our No. 1 goal is for you to win money every weekend. We will be providing a value lineup for each website moving forward so that you’ll have all the tools necessary to create your own lineups, but we’ll also update each post with our cash game and GPP lineups. The weekly write ups will focus on the lineup strategy, rather than player breakdowns. Feel free to consult The DFS Blue Book for individual player analysis, as well as our Weekly Rankings.

OwnThePlay uses full PPR scoring, but has no bonuses for yardage. They do, however, offer live ownership percentages which are helpful for identifying the value plays, the chalk plays, and the contrarian plays. Since we are committed to showing the value on each site, we have taken ownership percentages into account when recommending OwnThePlay roster constructions. The prices are an important component, but the percentages are where the advantage lies.

Below are the Week 12 DFS Value Plays for each position of an OwnThePlay lineup. The goal is to offer the lowest-priced players at each position so that it will be easy to construct cash and GPP lineups. These players are likely to return cash game value—which is 3x their salary divided by $1,000—so feel free to use them in your lineups this week. We’ve provided the current ownership percentages for each player, and will update them on Saturday morning and Sunday morning.

Week 12 OwnThePlay DFS Value Lineup:

QB | Josh McCown | $5,600 | 3% – Head Coach Mike Pettine had no choice but to bench Johnny Football after Manziel was videotaped partying during the Browns bye week, which means Josh McCown will be the starting QB this weekend against the Baltimore Ravens. The Ravens struggle to defend the pass and have lost their starting offensive weapons for the season (Flacco, Forsett, and Smith). McCown costs the bare minimum on DraftKings and threw for 457 yards and multiple TDs against Baltimore in Week 5. The only concern is whether the game script will allow Manziel to see the field in a blowout or when “his timeout is over.”

RB1 | James White | $3,500 | 0% – New England appeared mortal last week against Buffalo, but White managed a productive fantasy outing with 2 TDs. The Patriots will try to improve to 11-0 this weekend when they play the Denver Broncos in Mile High Stadium. The Patriots offense looked shaky without Julian Edelman (foot) and Dion Lewis (ACL) in the passing game, which could spell trouble since the Broncos are a top-3 DST against the pass. Head Coach Bill Belichick will need to be creative with his play calling, which could mean a whole lot of James White. It’s always risky to play a Patriots RB, but the upside is worth the risk with such a cheap price tag.

RB2 | Shaun Draughn | $3,000 | 7% – Regardless of his team, his QB, his opponents, or his own athletic talent, if there’s a RB who sees 11 passing targets in a single game and costs the minimum salary, we’re interested. Last week, Draughn had 20 touches for 77 total yards with 8 receptions on 11 targets against the Seattle Seahawks. Draughn returned 15.7 fantasy points without scoring a TD. This week, the 49ers will host the Arizona Cardinals who are potent in the passing game and with their running attack. If the Cardinals jump out to a quick lead, Draughn could be in for a monster PPR day. Even if the game stays close, Draughn is the only RB getting touches for the 49ers—a pure volume play for both cash and GPPs.

WR1 | Dontrelle Inman | $3,500 | 0% – Because of the injuries to Keenan Allen (kidney) and Malcom Floyd (shoulder), Inman has been seeing starter’s snaps for the San Diego Chargers. Last week, Rivers and company struggled to move the ball, but Inman had 3 receptions for 51 yards for 8.1 DraftKings points. With his salary, it’s tough to pass on Inman for cash and GPP lineups. There’s minimal risk with any minimum-priced player, but Inman is the WR2 on a team that has thrown 30+ times in 9 out of 10 games this season. The Chargers play in Jacksonville this Sunday as they look to win a shootout with the Jaguars and Blake Bortles, meaning Inman has a decent floor for cash games, and an immense ceiling for GPPs.

WR2 | Tyler Lockett | $3,500 | 0% – Lockett has seen an increased role the past few games and experienced a miniature breakout last week where he finished with 21.3 fantasy points. The Seahawks are without Ricardo Lockette and Chris Matthews, so there are more targets to go around. Lockett has been effective in the return game, but recently has been involved in the passing game. Things are trending up for the rookie WR as the Seahawks host the Pittsburgh Steelers this week. The Steelers secondary struggles to defend all positions, but Lockett’s deep speed give him a physical advantage as well. There are several $3,500 WRs to choose from, but we like Inman, Lockett, and Nelson the most.

TE | Heath Miller | $3,100 | 11% – The Pittsburgh Steelers have been a top-5 fantasy offense this season, but have been unpredictable because of injuries to their skill-position players. This week, QB Ben Roethlisberger will be starting for the Steelers against the Seattle Seahawks in a game with major playoff implications. The Seahawks biggest defensive flaw is guarding opposing TEs, so Miller is in a plus matchup where he should see plenty of targets. Big Ben will likely be under duress most of the game, and it’s unlikely that the run game will be effective. This equates to short passes and dump offs which is perfect for cash games on a full PPR site.

FLEX | JJ Nelson | $3,500 | 2% – The Arizona Cardinals are back at full strength after last week’s win over the Bengals. They need to keep the momentum going as they travel to San Francisco this Sunday to take on the division-rival 49ers. The 49ers have been atrocious on defense this season, but have played their best football at home. Opposing teams have struggled to run the ball in San Fran, which means more passing attempts overall. The Cardinals lead the league in shots downfield of 20+ yards, so Nelson should have several opportunities to rack up the yardage. Michael Floyd (hamstring) is likely to be limited at best, so Nelson is a great GPP play if Floyd is in, but a must for cash games if Floyd is out.

PK | Jason Myers | $3,000 | 41% – It doesn’t really matter who the kicker plays for if his price is $500 less than the other starting PKs. There are plenty of kickers to choose from, and if any of these other value plays are in an OwnThePlay lineup, there will likely be leftover salary to upgrade your PK. Either way, Myers has been on fire lately, putting up double-digit fantasy points in 3 straight weeks. The Jaguars offense is a little touch and go, but for $3,000, it’s hard for any kicker not to return value. The added benefit with Myers is that he’s almost 50% owned on OTP—meaning he’s the obvious chalk play and shouldn’t sink any cash lineups.

DST | Tampa Bay Buccaneers | $2,500 | 7% – The Buccaneers have scored 10+ fantasy points in 4 of their last 6 games and get to square off against the turnover-prone Indianapolis Colts. Although QB Matt Hasselbeck is undefeated this season as the Colts starter, he’s still likely to throw an interception or 2 and take several sacks throughout the game. At their measly price tag of just $2,500, the Bucs only need 8-10 points to return full value. It’s unlikely that the Colts will put up a ton of points, so there’s safety in the Bucs DST as well. The 7% ownership is surprisingly low, but we expect that number to climb as the week goes on.

POS PLAYER % OWNED SALARY
QB Josh McCown 3 5600
RB James White 0 3500
RB Shaun Draughn 7 3000
WR Dontrelle Inman 0 3500
WR Tyler Lockett 0 3500
TE Heath Miller 11 3100
FLEX JJ Nelson 2 3500
PK Jason Myers 41 3000
DST Tampa Bay Buccaneers 7 2500

 

Week 12 OwnThePlay DFS Lineups: Cash Games [Bankroll]

Unlike the other sites where salary is our best indicator, OwnThePlay has live ownership percentages that allow us to identify the chalk, the fades, and the contrarian plays. The key for cash game lineups is to eat as much chalk as possible while maintaining a high-floor and upside. In this case, we started with Spencer Ware and Shaun Draughn who are both excellent values and have double-digit ownership. From there, we plugged in our DST and Kicker who are owned in one-third of all OwnThePlay lineups (and offer salary relief).

Because of the cheaper options, we were able to pay up for Antonio Brown, Odell Beckham, and Julio Jones who are all top-tier options and highly owned. Several lineups will have these WRs, but the ownership percentages suggest only 1 or 2 are in most lineups, not all 3. We chose Heath Miller because of his high floor with Ben Roethlisberger under center. Finally, we had just enough salary left to slot in Eli Manning who pairs well with OBJ, is 14 percent owned, and has a phenomenal matchup against the Washington Football Team.

POS PLAYER % OWNED SALARY
QB Eli Manning 14% $7,500
RB Spencer Ware 18% $5,600
RB Shaun Draughn 11% $3,000
WR Antonio Brown 16% $7,500
WR Odell Beckham 28% $8,400
TE Heath Miller 8% $3,100
FLEX Julio Jones 19% $8,600
PK Jason Myers 39% $3,000
DST Kansas City Chiefs 34% $3,100

 

Week 12 OwnThePlay DFS Lineups: GPPs

When it comes to GPPs on OwnThePlay, it’s all about being contrarian. OTP is a small site that has several contests with under 100 entries. Because of that, it’s more important to get exposure to uncommon plays, rather than making an “ideal lineup.” In other words, we search for players we like for the week, but are under 10 percent owned.

As we’ve mentioned in other DFS lineups, the Steelers and Seahawks could be headed for a shootout. If so, rostering Ben Roethlisberger at 1 percent is a huge advantage. We paired him with his top WR, Antonio Brown, and offset both Steelers with the Seattle kicker, Steven Haushcka who is also 1 percent owned. From there we looked at top-tier players with lower-than-average ownership. Todd Gurley and Julio Jones are the center of their offenses and will get a lot of volume this week.

Our contrarian play of the week is James White who is sitting at 0 percent ownership, but should have several receptions this week against a tough Denver Broncos defense. Because the Patriots are shorthanded on offense, we also played the Broncos DST who are at 1 percent, despite being a top-5 defense. To finish it off, we chose Coby Fleener who has a good matchup against Tampa Bay and has been targeted more when Matt Hasselbeck has started at QB.

POS PLAYER % OWNED SALARY
QB Ben Roethlisberger 1% $7,800
RB Todd Gurley 7% $8,500
RB James White 0% $3,500
WR Julio Jones 19% $8,600
WR Antonio Brown 16% $7,500
TE Coby Fleener 3% $3,000
FLEX Shaun Draughn 11% $3,000
PK Steven Hauschka 1% $4,300
DST Denver Broncos 1% $3,700

There are endless alternative plays with this week’s cheap RB options, so feel free to make any adjustments you’d like. The DFS Blue Book and our other DFS lineups can help you identify which players you may want to substitute. Feel free to reach out to us via Twitter @dailystadium for any last-minute questions or if you have some feedback for us. Good luck in Week 12!