With only four weeks left in the regular NFL season, there’s no reason to slow down. These are the playoffs for DFS players. With others feeling discouraged, worn down, underwhelmed, or broke—this is the perfect opportunity to ramp up our game and dig deeper for the final stretch of the football season. There will be just as much money given out this weekend as any other, and we know more now than we ever have about each player, team, and matchup. We can’t sit idly by while others rake in the dough. It’s time to get hungry, because we’re about to get fed.
This week’s value lineup consists of players that are all “usable” for cash games. We scoured each site to compile the players with the lowest salaries that we would feel comfortable starting in a large-pool 50/50 tournament. Some of these names are riskier than others, but they all have improved circumstances from last week and have floors higher than 3x value. This means any TDs, long receptions, breakaway runs, or forced turnovers would solidify our lineups and provide a sufficient ROI.
As always, we’ve provided a confidence meter of 1-5 to help with player comparisons and last-minute swaps.
Week 14 OwnThePlay DFS Lineups: Value Lineup
Alex Smith | 8% | $5,700 | 4 – The Kansas City Chiefs appear to be playoff bound and are hosting the (Los Angeles-bound) San Diego Chargers. Smith has looked great in recent weeks, spreading the ball around, throwing TDs to his WRs, and even running in a TD. The strength of this matchup is for the Chiefs running game, but Smith is too cheap to ignore as a low-end QB1 right now.
Juwan Thompson | 0% | $3,500 | 3* – The Broncos have leaned heavily on their running backs since Brock Osweiler became the starting QB. Heach coach Gary Kubiak wants to pound the rock at home, and should have success against the Raiders this weekend. RB Ronnie Hillman will get the start, but he’s on a snap count, so Thompson has 10-15 touch potential—including goal line work.
*C.J. Anderson (ankle) could be active in this game. If so, Thompson is not a cash game option.
Charles Sims | 0% | $3,500 | 4 – The Buccaneers play at home against the Saints this week. New Orleans gives up over 30 points per game on the road this year, and the Bucs have been running the ball well. With Mark Ingram (shoulder) on IR, the Saints could struggle to move the ball. A late lead means more touches for Sims and running mate Doug Martin who is the obvious cash game lock at RB for this week.
DeVante Parker | 5% | $3,500 | 5 – OwnThePlay is clearly slacking with this week’s pricing. Parker has been a major pick up for season-long owners and continues to improve each week. The matchup is fantastic as the Giants give up the most points to opposing WRs this year. Parker is a cash game must if you’re looking to spend up for stud RBs and WRs this week. (And correlates well with Odell Beckham Jr.)
Cecil Shorts III | 0% | $3,500 | 5 – Shorts has been productive in every start this season. He has 9+ points in all but 1 game this season. At his current price, all he needs to do is play 4 quarters and we can pencil him in for double-digits against the Patriots. With all eyes on DeAndre Hopkins and the wacky run game, Shorts should have plenty of success, if not a monster game at home.
Luke Willson | 0% | $2,500 | 3 – The Seahawks look Super Bowl bound yet again after a slow start to the season. Russell Wilson is playing the best football of his life and Willson has been extremely productive with the few targets he’s seen. Seattle plays on the road against Baltimore, so there will be plenty of red zone opportunities for Willson. In GPPs, it could pay off big to use Wilson and Willson this week.
Keshawn Martin | 0% | $3,000 | 3 – The Patriots have to be embarrassed and pissed off after last week’s home loss to the Eagles. Tom Brady has struggled without Rob Gronkowski, but Martin has come through a few times already this year. With Brandon LaFell’s drop issues, and Danny Amendola’s health, Martin should see a few targets. Martin is facing the Texans for the first time since they traded him.
Travis Coons | 4% | $3,500 | 3 – It’s hard to imagine a scenario where the Cleveland Browns play the San Francisco 49ers and there aren’t at least 2 turnovers. Additionally, Johnny Manziel brings more fire power to the Browns offense, but Cleveland lacks real red zone targets. With the 49ers allowing 30+ points on the road this season, Coons should probably start stretching now.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 0% | $2,500 | 5 – In Week 2, the Bucs had four sacks, two fumble recoveries, and an INT when they played the Saints in the Superdome. This week, the Bucs play at home with a rushing defense ranked top-5 in the league. To add insult to injury, the Saints placed RB Mark Ingram (shoulder) on season-ending IR. Drew Brees has been awful on the road this season, so the Bucs are an elite play.
|WR||Cecil Shorts III||0%||$3,500|
|DST||Tampa Bay Buccaneers||0%||$2,500|
Week 14 OwnThePlay DFS Lineups: Cash Games
Of all the cash lineups, this is the wackiest. It’s tough to imagine a cash lineup without Odell Beckham or Antonio Brown, but roster construction led us toward expensive RBs and cheap WRs. LeSean McCoy and Doug Martin are cash game locks for this week. Both could return 20+ points. Without Brown, we chose to use Martavis Bryant who has an excellent matchup against the Colts. Danny Amendola is back in action and should be a PPR monster against the Texans.
As we’ve mentioned in other lineups, Anquan Boldin has been Mr. Consistent and makes for a great value play. Delanie Walker is the safest TE on the slate not named Greg Olsen, so it’s surprising he’s so low owned. With all the studs at skill positions, we were forced to pay down at PK and DST, settling on the highest percentage plays at both ends of the scale. Jason Myers and the Chicago DST are solid plays, but we only had a little money left over. After much tinkering, we decided to bite the bullet and hope Alex Smith continues his 20+ point streak against the Chargers this Sunday.
Week 14 OwnThePlay DFS Lineups: Guaranteed Prize Pools (GPPs)
It’s tough to get more contrarian than this. We faded the Bengals and Pittsburgh game, save DeAngelo Williams. From there, we pivoted from Doug Martin to Lamar Miller and stacked the Monday night game with our top WR, Odell Beckham, and OwnThePlay’s top value play, DeVante Parker. The other game we chose to focus on was New England vs. Houston. With Cecil Shorts and Nate Washington contributing, Brian Hoyer could post some solid numbers, making him a great contrarian QB.
The best option for the Patriots in GPPs is Scott Chandler, especially with so much confusion around the TE position. His 1 percent ownership is extremely appealing. Brian Hartline is questionable for Sunday, but if he plays, he’s all but a lock to return 3x value as the best WR option for Cleveland (especially with Johnny Manziel under center). Dan Carpenter is somewhat owned, but he is a good fade to the Bills offensive players and should finish as a top 5 PK. Finally, the Panthers have a great matchup and continue to roll teams, yet they are going overlooked for the Chiefs, Bears, and Seahawks this week.
If you have any questions, concerns, or comments on the Week 14 OwnThePlay DFS Lineups, please let us know on Twitter @DailyStadium, or reach out to us through email firstname.lastname@example.org. Good luck in Week 14—go make that money!