Happy holidays to you and all your loved ones. It’s the season of giving, sharing, loving, and caring! Here at The Daily Fantasy Stadium, we are busy keeping you in the loop as we travel from coast-to-coast this holiday season. In order to spend time with our families and friends, this week’s content will be paired down just a little bit. We hope you have a great Week 16 and we’ll be back to finish out the season strong.
FanDuel has continued their tight pricing which makes our value selections even more important. We didn’t want to dumpster dive, so prices may be higher than usual for lower-tiered players, but we still have confidence in their ability to return 2-3x value. Make sure to check this week’s DFS Blue Book for more of our favorite plays in Week 16.
Week 16 FanDuel DFS Lineups: Value Plays
Player name | Player salary | Confidence meter 1 – 5 on returning 3x+ value (5 is a cash game lock)
Zach Mettenberger | $6,000 | 2 – The Titans are out of the playoffs, but they are a young team that needs experience. This is their last home game, so they’ll likely go out with a bang (if possible). Mettenberger can throw the ball deep, so he has the potential to score 20+. His floor is under 10, though.
Jay Ajayi | $5,400 | 3 – There’s a theme this week of young players who will likely get more opportunities. Ajayi out touched Lamar Miller last week, and has a great matchup at home against the Colts. He’s an RB2 flyer at best, but he’ll get a few goal line carries and doesn’t need much to return value.
Ryan Mathews | $5,400 | 3 – The Eagles have a three-headed backfield, but they continue to give Mathews a large chunk of snaps. He’s been the most productive back throughout the season and could be the long-term answer in Philly. He faces a bad Washington run defense at home, so he’s usable.
Dontrelle Inman | $5,400 | 3 – Someone has to catch TDs from Philip Rivers this week, and it could easily be Inman. Neither Jevontee Herndon, nor Ladarius Green have been involved in the red zone lately, so Inman has potential. At his miniscule cost, against a soft Oakland defense, Inman is borderline for cash games.
James Jones | $5,600 | 4 – Jones isn’t a great cash option because of his inconsistency, but ever since head coach Mike McCarthy took over the offensive play calling, Jones has re-emerged as a WR3. The Cardinals just lost CB Tyrann Mathieu for the season, so Jones will have a plus matchup for Week 16.
Rueben Randle | $3,500 | 4 – No surprise here. With Odell Beckham Jr. serving his one-game suspension, Randle will step into the WR1 role. Fellow WR Dwayne Harris has yet to practice this week, so Randle might be all there is for Eli Manning against the Vikings in a game the Giants need to win.
Eric Ebron | $2,900 | 4 – In his first game without Brandon Pettigrew, Ebron hauled in 4 of his 5 targets for 79 yards. The Lions were able to do whatever they wanted on offense, and should continue that momentum this week. Ebron will get a redzone target or two, so he’s a great “punt play” at TE.
Dustin Hopkins | $4,500 | 4 – Washington has been on fire lately and they’re traveling to Philadelphia on Saturday. The Eagles defense has been less than stellar, but they should put up a decent fight at home. Hopkins will likely have several FG opportunities, and the weather should be just fine.
Oakland Raider | $4,300 | 4 – It’s tough to find a better value than Oakland at home against the Chargers who are coming off their most emotional win of the season. Khalil Mack continues to terrorize O-linemen while Charles Woodson has been a turnover machine. For their price, Oakland is easily cash viable.
Rather than doing a player breakdown over the holidays, we’re simply offering our lineups with a short explanation. Reach out to us via Twitter if you have any questions.
Week 16 FanDuel DFS Lineup: Cash Games
The goal of any FanDuel lineup is to collect the most TDs. Since TDs are the most volatile stat to predict, it makes FanDuel a different type of DFS challenge. The most widely accepted indicator of TD predictability is volume. It’s not overly complicated—if a player has the ball, he’s more likely to score than players without the ball. Our goal with this cash lineup was to pick players with high volume against soft defensive matchups.
The QB always touches the ball, so using one of the cheapest options on the slate opens up a lot of cap space. The same is true of defenses—the cheaper, the better (without taking dumb risks). There are several NFL teams using running-back-by-committee approaches. The last thing we want is to get “game scripted” or have our starting RB sidelined because of ball security issues. The same goes for TEs/WRs. A No.1 target on an offense is worth paying up for compared to the No.2 or 3 options. This is a high-volume lineup.
Week 16 FanDuel DFS Lineups: GPPs
There are several big names, great values, and “chalk” plays missing from this lineup. That’s intentional. Our hope is by focusing on the talent and not the hype that we will gain an advantage on the field. Group think is dangerous in DFS, so we’re going to color outside the lines with our GPP lineups this week. If things get messy—as they tend to do in the NFL—we may be the biggest beneficiaries.
There are no correlation plays in this lineup. This will set us apart from any of the high-volume DFS players, the sharks, as some call them. However, these are all strong plays that could easily return 3x value if the TDs come as predicted. Eric Decker is a little expensive for his recent production, but that should lower his ownership. Jeremy Langford may get the Lion’s share of the work with Matt Forte headed to free agency in a few weeks. Everyone else are redzone monsters with more-than-favorable matchups.
As always, if you have any questions, reach out on Twitter @DailyStadium.